Historic Volatility Measures as of 01/31/2014
|REIT Spliced Index||1.00||1.00|
|Dow Jones U.S. Total Stock Market Index||0.48||0.90|
*R-squared and beta are calculated from trailing 36-month fund returns relative to the associated benchmark.
|Risks Associated with Moderate to Aggressive Funds
Vanguard funds classified as moderate to aggressive are broadly diversified but are subject to wide fluctuations in share price because they hold virtually all of their assets in common stocks. In general, such funds are appropriate for investors who have a long-term investment horizon (ten years or longer), who are seeking growth in capital as a primary objective, and who are prepared to endure the sharp and sometimes prolonged declines in share prices that occur from time to time in the stock market. This price volatility is the trade-off for the potentially high returns that common stocks can provide. The level of current income produced by funds in this category ranges from moderate to very low.
|Plain Talk About Risk
The portfolio’s total return, like returns on REITs generally, will fluctuate within a wide range, so an investor could lose money over short or even long periods. Stock markets tend to move in cycles, with periods of rising prices and periods of falling prices. The portfolio is also subject to:
- Industry concentration risk: The chance that real estate stocks will decline because of adverse developments affecting the real estate industry and real property values. Because the fund concentrates its assets in real estate stocks, industry concentration risk is high.
- Stock market risk: The chance that stock prices overall will decline. Stock markets tend to move in cycles, with periods of rising stock prices and periods of falling stock prices.
- Interest rate risk: The chance that REIT stock prices overall will decline because of rising interest rates. Interest rate risk should be high for the fund.
- Investment style risk: The chance that the returns from real estate securities—which frequently are small- or mid-capitalization stocks—will trail returns from the overall stock market. Historically, real estate securities have performed quite differently from the overall market.